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How is it changing the world?

Beginning with the US, Shale gas looks set to change the energy future of the world. The US Energy Information Administration has identified rich unconventional resources in several countries worldwide[14].

A report from the Tyndall Centre in Manchester suggests that the total additional carbon dioxide from shale gas worldwide would range from 46 - 183 billion tonnes - enough to raise the atmospheric concentration of CO2 between 3 and 11 parts per million[8].

USA

Rich plays of shale gas in the United States have transformed onshore gas production. The growth of shale gas is so rapid that the US Energy Information Administration predict that in 2035, almost half of US gas production will be from shale gas, with approximately 75% from unconventionals overall[15].


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EIA Annual Energy Outlook predictions for US gas production. Scale is in trillions of cubic feet


Legislation has been distinctly pro-shale gas and the Department of Energy has been broadly supportive of Shale Gas. Mineral rights legislation in the US mean that it is a favourable place for Oil and Gas companies. Environmental regulation is largely state-controlled.

Poland

Poland, estimated as having 5,300 bcm(billion cubic metres) of shale gas[14], is very keen to develop its resources, not least to end gas dependence on Russia. On 21 June 2011, 3 Legs Resources announced the completion of its horizontal well in Łebień in the Kashubia region[16]. This will be fracked in the third quarter of 2011. The Polish Government has granted licences to at least 34 companies as of March 2011


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Unconventionals Licences from the Polish Ministry of the Environment (Ministerstwo Środowiska)


The response of the Polish Government to the recent interest in shale gas has been overwhelmingly supportive[17].

France

Identified by the EIA as having the second largest reserves of shale gas in Europe[14], France has declined to pursue shale gas. Their relative energy security through nuclear and renewables has meant the demand for natural gas in France is less urgent than the UK (citation needed). Furthermore, campaigning by environmentalists and prominent politicians, particularly the MEP José Bové, has led to the French Parliament banning hydraulic fracturing[18].


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Protests near Lyon, France, against proposed shale gas development. Image: ledauphine.com


The Rest of The World

In the rest of the world, Shale Gas is yet to be developed. Prospecting by Shell in Sweden yielded poor results and was abandoned[19], test drilling by Cuadrilla Resources in the Netherlands will begin in late 2011[20]; other companies have started elsewhere in Europe.

China have expressed an interest in Shale Gas - it is thought to possess more shale gas resources than the US[14][21]. Canada, too, has rapidly started developing shale gas, however, in March the province of Quebec halted shale operations to study the ecological dangers of fracking[22].

 


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